RendmentResearch
Portfolio

How We Build and Manage Positions

The portfolio runs on two layers. A permanent core that holds the line when the regime is uncertain, and a tactical layer that expresses our current read of the macro environment. Capital protection comes first. Opportunism comes second.

Open Book

The Live Positions

Every active position, equally weighted in the chart for clarity. Each card opens the full thesis.

Current Positions

Disruptive & protective barbell·45% defensive core + 55% disruptive engine·May 2026

DEFDefensive — protects against systemic riskOFFOffensive — captures macro regime upside
01
Asia ex-Japan
EM growth engine
25%
OFF
LASI
Driven by
  • ·Demographic growth advantage — young Asia vs aging West
  • ·Following gold — Asian equities expand when the monetary premium rises
  • ·Rising economic activity — industrial output, domestic consumption, digital economy

Not betting on a single country. The ETF automatically reweights to the winning economies — if China wins you win, if India wins you win. Captures the growing share of the global economy held by Asia. Asian deflation export ended (May 2026): China PPI turned positive after 33 months of deflation — Asia now sets its own price level.

02
Chile
Copper supercycle
15%
OFF
ECH
Driven by
  • ·Copper exposure for AI and chips demand — critical infrastructure metal for the digital economy
  • ·Structural institutional bid — Chilean AFP pension fund ($600B) deploys monthly regardless of politics

Second-layer AI play: AI → chips → copper → Chile. The theme without the semiconductor bubble risk (semis already meet all 3 NBER bubble criteria). Lowest debt/GDP in LatAm (40%), stable governance, Monroe Doctrine backstop prevents nationalisation. Big institutional money from Latin America — the Americans are paying attention.

03
Nuclear
AI electricity infra
15%
OFF
IQQF
Driven by
  • ·Big energy demand from AI — data centers need 24/7 baseload that wind and solar cannot provide
  • ·AI electricity gap — ChatGPT uses 10× a Google search; 760→950 GW new demand projected

Uranium is in the accumulation phase — semiconductors are in euphoria, nuclear is where smart money enters now (Bravos 3-phase bull market rotation tool). Zero new uranium discoveries in two years. IQQF preferred over US alternatives (URA / URNM): EUR-listed, UCITS compliant, 0.35% TER, no USD currency drag.

04
Gold / Bonds
Property anchor
15%
DEF
IAU
Preventing
  • ·Dedollarisation losses — gold preserves value as USD debases
  • ·War & geopolitical instability — no counterparty, cannot be frozen or sanctioned
  • ·Stock and economy crashes — gold moves inversely in systemic crises

Gold by default. Central banks bought 4,000 tons in 4 years — structural bid regardless of price. The 2022 EU→Russia asset freeze proved it: gold cannot be confiscated. Rotate to bonds only when a country has all of: solid currency + real growth + low debt + peaked rates. Strong Asia sovereign bonds only — never EU or US bonds.

05
Energy / NOK
Oil-shock hedge
15%
DEF
XWDOENOR
Preventing
  • ·Energy crisis losses — holding energy offsets rising costs across the portfolio
  • ·Oil-shock damage — energy producers benefit directly when oil spikes

Always maintain the energy line. 30-year supercycle is active — natural resources already +30% vs S&P TTM. When energy pumps hard past ~25%, rotate the excess into NOK: same macro direction as energy in currency form, far lower volatility. Return to energy equities when uncertainty clears. A Middle East ETF can substitute temporarily during regional crises.

06
CHF / SGD
Stability anchor
15%
DEF
IECHKV4
Preventing
  • ·Overall market crashes — CHF historically appreciates during risk-off events
  • ·Inflation erosion — strong currency preserves purchasing power passively

Cash is stability, not optionality. CHF by default — the only truly safe sovereign. No USD paper: the US repays by debasing. Switch to SGD when: (1) Chinese interest rates rising AND (2) SGD cheap vs CHF. SGD co-moves with CNY via the MAS basket but is more stable — indirect RMB Phase 2 upside without capital control risk.

Rendement Portfolio v2.0 · May 202645% DEF · 55% OFF · 3–4 engine positions max