How We Build and Manage Positions
The portfolio runs on two layers. A permanent core that holds the line when the regime is uncertain, and a tactical layer that expresses our current read of the macro environment. Capital protection comes first. Opportunism comes second.
Building the Structure
The permanent core, the tactical layer, and the rules that decide when a position leaves the book.
Read all construction articles →ManagementManaging the Positions
Conviction-weighted sizing, when we add and trim, and how we read risk and correlation across the book.
Read all management articles →The Live Positions
Every active position, equally weighted in the chart for clarity. Each card opens the full thesis.
Asia ex-Japan
Captures the growing share of global GDP held by Asia, without single-country risk. Demographics + monetary premium + post-deflation reflation.
Read the thesis ↓Chile
Second-layer AI play: AI → chips → copper → Chile. The theme without the semiconductor bubble risk.
Read the thesis ↓Nuclear
AI needs 24/7 baseload. Uranium still in accumulation while semis are in euphoria.
Read the thesis ↓Gold / Bonds
Property, not a promise. Central-bank bid is structural. Cannot be frozen or sanctioned.
Read the thesis ↓Energy / NOK
Always maintain the energy line. 30-year supercycle is active. Rotate excess into NOK during big pumps.
Read the thesis ↓CHF / SGD
Cash is stability, not optionality. CHF the structural default, SGD when the Asia thesis is active.
Read the thesis ↓Current Positions
Disruptive & protective barbell·45% defensive core + 55% disruptive engine·May 2026
- ·Demographic growth advantage — young Asia vs aging West
- ·Following gold — Asian equities expand when the monetary premium rises
- ·Rising economic activity — industrial output, domestic consumption, digital economy
Not betting on a single country. The ETF automatically reweights to the winning economies — if China wins you win, if India wins you win. Captures the growing share of the global economy held by Asia. Asian deflation export ended (May 2026): China PPI turned positive after 33 months of deflation — Asia now sets its own price level.
- ·Copper exposure for AI and chips demand — critical infrastructure metal for the digital economy
- ·Structural institutional bid — Chilean AFP pension fund ($600B) deploys monthly regardless of politics
Second-layer AI play: AI → chips → copper → Chile. The theme without the semiconductor bubble risk (semis already meet all 3 NBER bubble criteria). Lowest debt/GDP in LatAm (40%), stable governance, Monroe Doctrine backstop prevents nationalisation. Big institutional money from Latin America — the Americans are paying attention.
- ·Big energy demand from AI — data centers need 24/7 baseload that wind and solar cannot provide
- ·AI electricity gap — ChatGPT uses 10× a Google search; 760→950 GW new demand projected
Uranium is in the accumulation phase — semiconductors are in euphoria, nuclear is where smart money enters now (Bravos 3-phase bull market rotation tool). Zero new uranium discoveries in two years. IQQF preferred over US alternatives (URA / URNM): EUR-listed, UCITS compliant, 0.35% TER, no USD currency drag.
- ·Dedollarisation losses — gold preserves value as USD debases
- ·War & geopolitical instability — no counterparty, cannot be frozen or sanctioned
- ·Stock and economy crashes — gold moves inversely in systemic crises
Gold by default. Central banks bought 4,000 tons in 4 years — structural bid regardless of price. The 2022 EU→Russia asset freeze proved it: gold cannot be confiscated. Rotate to bonds only when a country has all of: solid currency + real growth + low debt + peaked rates. Strong Asia sovereign bonds only — never EU or US bonds.
- ·Energy crisis losses — holding energy offsets rising costs across the portfolio
- ·Oil-shock damage — energy producers benefit directly when oil spikes
Always maintain the energy line. 30-year supercycle is active — natural resources already +30% vs S&P TTM. When energy pumps hard past ~25%, rotate the excess into NOK: same macro direction as energy in currency form, far lower volatility. Return to energy equities when uncertainty clears. A Middle East ETF can substitute temporarily during regional crises.
- ·Overall market crashes — CHF historically appreciates during risk-off events
- ·Inflation erosion — strong currency preserves purchasing power passively
Cash is stability, not optionality. CHF by default — the only truly safe sovereign. No USD paper: the US repays by debasing. Switch to SGD when: (1) Chinese interest rates rising AND (2) SGD cheap vs CHF. SGD co-moves with CNY via the MAS basket but is more stable — indirect RMB Phase 2 upside without capital control risk.